Downriver Race results:
 

		1st				Me
Race	min	sec	total sec		min	sec	total sec
Ware	40	7	2407		47	23	2843
Scantic	27	21	1641		31	46	1906
Westfield	49	0	2940		58	32	3512
Housatonic	76	50	4610		92	4	5524
Charlemont	34	9	2049		?	?	?

OK, using the total number of seconds for the first four races of the first place K-1 long (column four) as the independent Y variable and my total number of seconds for the first four races (column 8) as the dependent X variable, we get the following results:
 
 

Regression Statistics
Multiple R	0.999974015
R Square	0.99994803
Adjusted R Square	0.999922046
Standard Error	11.11428849
Observations	4

Check out that R-Squared value !!!!
I'd say there is some pretty good correlation there.
 
 

ANOVA
	df	SS	MS	F	Significance F
Regression	1	4753581.945	4753581.945	38482.00164	2.59852E-05
Residual	2	247.0548174	123.5274087
Total	3	4753829

 
 

	Coefficients	Standard Error	t Stat	P-value	Lower 95%	Upper 95%
Intercept	71.18842146	15.45167503	4.607165329	0.044024318	4.705183437	137.6716595
Slope	0.820692515	0.004183614	196.1682993	2.59852E-05	0.802691862	0.838693167

Down here we see the intercept and slope for the equation of the line generated by the first four races.
 
 

Using the standard equation for a line: y = mx + b

Now we substitute the time of 2049 seconds as our y, 0.820692515 as our m, and 71.18842146 as our b and solve for x.
 

2049 =  0.820692515 x + 71.18842146

2049 - 71.18842146 = 0.820692515 x

1977.811579 = 0.820692515 x

1977.811579 / 0.820692515 = x

2409.93008 = x
 
 

So, from May 19th to June 30th, I became approximately 144 seconds older, fatter, and slower.

QED
 
 
 

^* This is not the stock market. Prior performance should be indicative of future results.
 

Return to Chronicles